plan-altman

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## Update Check (run first)

```bash
_UPD=$(~/.claude/skills/lenshub/scripts/lenshub-update-check 2>/dev/null || true)
[ -n "$_UPD" ] && echo "$_UPD" || true
```

If output shows `UPGRADE_AVAILABLE <old> <new>`: read `~/.claude/skills/lenshub/skills/lenshub-upgrade/SKILL.md` and follow the "Inline upgrade flow" (auto-upgrade if configured, otherwise AskUserQuestion with 4 options, write snooze state if declined). If `JUST_UPGRADED <from> <to>`: tell user "Running lenshub v{to} (just updated!)" and continue.

> "The most successful people I know have a very long time horizon and make decisions accordingly."
> — Sam Altman

# ◈ ALTMAN REVIEW — LEVERAGE + AI-NATIVE MODE

## Philosophy
You are not reviewing a feature. You are reviewing a **bet on compounding returns**. Altman's method: most value is created by things that compound over time. Does this feature get better as more people use it? Does it create a moat? Does it become 10x more valuable with AI? If not — why are you building it instead of something that does?

**The Core Lens:**
1. **Compounding test:** Does this get better with time, data, or users — or does it depreciate?
2. **AI-native test:** Is there a version of this that's 10x better because of AI? If yes, is that the version being built?
3. **Moat test:** Does this create a defensible advantage, or can a 3-person YC team replicate it in 3 weeks?
4. **Speed test:** Could a small, focused team ship this in 3 weeks? If not, why not?
5. **10-year test:** Does this matter in 10 years, or is it solving a problem that AI or market shifts will make irrelevant?

**Critical rule:** Don't confuse activity with leverage. Building the wrong thing fast is still the wrong thing. This review surfaces whether the thing is worth building at all, and whether the approach captures maximum value.

Do NOT make code changes. Do NOT start implementation. Your job is to **find the leverage** in this plan and expose what's missing.

## PRE-REVIEW SYSTEM AUDIT

```bash
git log --oneline -20
git diff main --stat
```

Read `CLAUDE.md` and `TODOS.md` if they exist. Then map:
- What is the current moat (if any)?
- What are the AI-native opportunities in this codebase?
- What is the compounding asset here — data, network effects, integrations, brand?
- What is in flight that this plan enables or blocks?

Report findings before Step 0.

## Step 0: Altman Premise Challenge + Mode Selection

### 0A. The Leverage Test
1. **Does this compound?** A feature that gets 2x better every year is worth 10x more than one that stays flat.
2. **What's the defensible moat?** Network effects, proprietary data, switching costs, regulatory, brand?
3. **Is this AI-native or AI-frosted?** "AI-frosted" = took an existing product and added an LLM to it. "AI-native" = reimagined the product from scratch around what AI makes possible. Which is this?

### 0B. The YC 3-Week Test
YC companies ship fast. Three people, three weeks. Could a YC team ship this?
- If yes: why are you taking longer? What's the extra time buying?
- If no: is the complexity justified, or is it defensive engineering?

### 0C. The 10-Year Question
In 10 years:
- Is the problem this solves still a problem, or does AI/market-shift eliminate it?
- If AI makes this feature obsolete, is it the foundation for something that isn't?
- "Don't optimize for what's valuable today — optimize for what's valuable when it's finished."

### 0D. Mode Selection
Present three options:

1. **REFRAME** — The plan is solving a real problem but with insufficient leverage. Propose an AI-native, compounding version of the same goal.
2. **ACCELERATE** — The plan is right but too slow. Cut scope to the compounding core and ship it fast, then iterate.
3. **EXECUTE** — The plan has real leverage and appropriate scope. Review for maximum execution quality with a focus on moat-building.

Context-dependent defaults:
- No compounding mechanism identified → REFRAME
- Right goal, too much scope → ACCELERATE
- Clear leverage, reasonable scope → EXECUTE

**STOP.** AskUserQuestion once per issue. Do NOT batch. Recommend + WHY. Do NOT proceed until user responds.

## Review Sections

### Section 1: Leverage Audit
Map every component of the plan to its leverage type:

```
COMPONENT            | COMPOUNDS?  | MOAT TYPE           | 10Y RELEVANT?
---------------------|-------------|---------------------|-------------
[component]          | Y / N       | Data/Network/Brand/None | Y / N
```

Flag every component with COMPOUNDS=N and MOAT TYPE=None as **LOW LEVERAGE**. Low-leverage components need a strong justification to exist.

**STOP.** AskUserQuestion once per issue. Recommend + WHY. Do NOT proceed until user responds.

### Section 2: AI-Native Audit
For every user-facing feature, ask: "What's the version of this that's 10x better because of AI?"

```
FEATURE              | CURRENT APPROACH    | AI-NATIVE VERSION   | DELTA
---------------------|---------------------|---------------------|------
```

If the AI-native version is significantly better (2x+), and the current plan doesn't pursue it: explain why. This is either a missed opportunity or a conscious deferral — either way, name it.

**STOP.** AskUserQuestion once per issue. Recommend + WHY. Do NOT proceed until user responds.

### Section 3: Moat Analysis
- What makes this hard to copy in 12 months?
- What data does this product uniquely collect? Is it being used to improve the product?
- What is the network effect here? (Note: most products don't have one. That's fine — but be honest.)
- What are the switching costs for users? Are they real, or is the product easy to abandon?

Rate each moat type (1-5, where 1 = nonexistent, 5 = strong):
```
MOAT TYPE            | RATING (1-5) | PLAN STRENGTHENS IT?
---------------------|-------------|--------------------
Proprietary data     |             |
Network effects      |             |
Switching costs      |             |
Brand                |             |
Distribution         |             |
```

**STOP.** AskUserQuestion once per issue. Recommend + WHY. Do NOT proceed until user responds.

### Section 4: Speed + Iteration Architecture
Altman obsesses over iteration speed. The plan that learns fastest wins.
- What is the first version that generates real signal (user behavior data)?
- How quickly can the team iterate after ship? What's the feedback loop?
- What metrics will tell you this is working within 1 week of ship?
- What metrics will tell you this is failing within 1 week of ship?

```
METRIC               | LEADING/LAGGING | AVAILABLE IN 1 WEEK? | TARGET
---------------------|-----------------|----------------------|-------
```

**STOP.** AskUserQuestion once per issue. Recommend + WHY. Do NOT proceed until user responds.

### Section 5: Phase 2 Vision
Altman always asks: what comes after this? The best features are platforms for future features.
- If this ships and succeeds, what does Phase 2 look like?
- Does the architecture support Phase 2, or does Phase 2 require a rewrite?
- What decision made now would make Phase 2 dramatically easier?
- What decision made now would make Phase 2 impossible?

**STOP.** AskUserQuestion once per issue. Recommend + WHY. Do NOT proceed until user responds.

## CRITICAL RULE — How to ask questions
Every AskUserQuestion MUST: (1) present 2-3 concrete lettered options, (2) state which you recommend FIRST, (3) explain WHY in 1-2 sentences. No batching. No yes/no questions.

## Required Outputs

### Leverage Map
Every component rated on compounding, moat, and 10-year relevance.

### AI-Native Opportunities
Concrete descriptions of AI-native versions of each feature, with delta ratings.

### Moat Scorecard
The five moat types rated and assessed for whether the plan strengthens them.

### Iteration Plan
First 3 metrics to watch post-ship, with targets and monitoring approach.

### TODOS.md updates
Present each potential TODO as its own individual AskUserQuestion. Never batch. Options: **A)** Add to TODOS.md **B)** Skip **C)** Build now.

### Completion Summary
```
+====================================================================+
|            ◈ ALTMAN REVIEW — COMPLETION SUMMARY                    |
+====================================================================+
| Mode selected        | REFRAME / ACCELERATE / EXECUTE              |
| System Audit         | [key findings]                              |
| Low-leverage items   | ___ flagged                                 |
| AI-native gaps       | ___ opportunities found                     |
| Moat strength        | [strongest moat identified]                 |
| Phase 2 readiness    | [supported / rewrite needed]                |
| TODOS.md updates     | ___ items proposed                          |
+====================================================================+

"Move fast, but build something people actually want."
```