polymarket-analysis

Analyze Polymarket prediction markets for trading edges. Pair Cost arbitrage, whale tracking, sentiment analysis, momentum signals, user profile tracking. No execution.

533 stars

Best use case

polymarket-analysis is best used when you need a repeatable AI agent workflow instead of a one-off prompt.

Analyze Polymarket prediction markets for trading edges. Pair Cost arbitrage, whale tracking, sentiment analysis, momentum signals, user profile tracking. No execution.

Teams using polymarket-analysis should expect a more consistent output, faster repeated execution, less prompt rewriting.

When to use this skill

  • You want a reusable workflow that can be run more than once with consistent structure.

When not to use this skill

  • You only need a quick one-off answer and do not need a reusable workflow.
  • You cannot install or maintain the underlying files, dependencies, or repository context.

Installation

Claude Code / Cursor / Codex

$curl -o ~/.claude/skills/polymarket-analysis/SKILL.md --create-dirs "https://raw.githubusercontent.com/sundial-org/awesome-openclaw-skills/main/skills/polymarket-analysis/SKILL.md"

Manual Installation

  1. Download SKILL.md from GitHub
  2. Place it in .claude/skills/polymarket-analysis/SKILL.md inside your project
  3. Restart your AI agent — it will auto-discover the skill

How polymarket-analysis Compares

Feature / Agentpolymarket-analysisStandard Approach
Platform SupportNot specifiedLimited / Varies
Context Awareness High Baseline
Installation ComplexityUnknownN/A

Frequently Asked Questions

What does this skill do?

Analyze Polymarket prediction markets for trading edges. Pair Cost arbitrage, whale tracking, sentiment analysis, momentum signals, user profile tracking. No execution.

Where can I find the source code?

You can find the source code on GitHub using the link provided at the top of the page.

Related Guides

SKILL.md Source

# Polymarket Analysis

Identify trading advantages in Polymarket prediction markets through multi-modal analysis.

**Scope:** Analysis and opportunity identification only. No trade execution.

## Modes

| Mode | Description | Reference |
|------|-------------|-----------|
| **Analyze** | One-time market analysis | This file |
| **Monitor** | 24/7 market monitoring | `references/market-monitoring-setup.md` |
| **Profile** | Track user wallet positions | `scripts/fetch-polymarket-user-profile.py` |

## Scripts

```bash
# Monitor market for alerts
python3 scripts/monitor-polymarket-market.py <market_url_or_id>

# Fetch user profile/positions
python3 scripts/fetch-polymarket-user-profile.py <wallet_address> [--trades] [--pnl]
```

## Quick Start

### Market Analysis
1. Get market URL from user
2. Fetch via `https://gamma-api.polymarket.com/markets?slug={slug}`
3. Run multi-strategy analysis

### User Profile
```bash
# From profile URL: polymarket.com/profile/0x...
python3 scripts/fetch-polymarket-user-profile.py 0x7845bc5e15bc9c41be5ac0725e68a16ec02b51b5
```

## Core Strategies

| Strategy | Description | Reference |
|----------|-------------|-----------|
| Pair Cost Arbitrage | YES+NO < $1.00 | `references/pair-cost-arbitrage.md` |
| Momentum | RSI, MA signals | `references/momentum-analysis.md` |
| Whale Tracking | Large trades | `references/whale-tracking.md` |
| Sentiment | News/social | `references/sentiment-analysis.md` |

## Alert Thresholds

| Event | Threshold |
|-------|-----------|
| Price change | ±5% in 1h |
| Large trade | >$5,000 |
| Pair cost | <$0.98 |
| Volume spike | >2x avg |

## APIs

| API | Base URL | Use |
|-----|----------|-----|
| Gamma | `gamma-api.polymarket.com` | Markets, prices |
| Data | `data-api.polymarket.com` | User positions, trades, P&L |
| CLOB | `clob.polymarket.com` | Order books, trading |

See `references/polymarket-api.md` for full endpoint reference.

## References

- `references/polymarket-api.md` - API endpoints (Gamma, Data, CLOB)
- `references/market-monitoring-setup.md` - 24/7 cron monitoring
- `references/pair-cost-arbitrage.md` - Arbitrage detection
- `references/momentum-analysis.md` - Technical analysis
- `references/whale-tracking.md` - Smart money tracking
- `references/sentiment-analysis.md` - Sentiment aggregation

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